Thesis Labv0.2.0

All tickers

Every ticker referenced by a thesis has a research file here. The recommendation column is the agent's current call: buy / add / trim / sell / hold / avoid / watch.

TickerThesesRecommendationPriceRationale
ASML
ASML Holding N.V.
T002 HOLD
4.5% · high
$1,472.39 Closest thing to monopoly economics in the AI build-out. The cleanest pick-and-shovel in the lab.
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
T002 HOLD
6.0% · high
$420.71 Custom-silicon hedge on NVDA. Google TPU franchise alone justifies the position; VMware is the unknown.
CEG
Constellation Energy Corporation
T001 HOLD
8.0% · high
$262.00 Largest T001 conviction expression; Calpine accretion + dual hyperscaler PPAs already in hand; Crane restart is the asymmetric kicker. Don't…
COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc.
T006 HOLD
4.0% · medium
$189.44 Cleanest stablecoin-economics equity. Trading-volume volatility cycles; USDC float is the structural part.
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.
T009 BUY
3.0% · medium-high
Secondary T009 expression; endpoint-out platform consolidator. Module attach rate is the underlying compounder.
GD
General Dynamics Corporation
T004 HOLD
3.0% · medium
$343.11 Steady Marine + Combat exposure. Less directional than NOC; right size for diversification within defense.
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
T003 HOLD
8.0% · medium-high
$988.09 Best operator in GLP-1; Medicare access July 1 is the near-term catalyst; orforglipron real-world data is the dominant 12-month variable.
LMT
Lockheed Martin Corporation
T004 TRIM
2.5% · medium
$528.31 Smallest of the defense trio with the most execution drag. NOC is the better expression of the same thesis.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
T008 BUY
4.0% · high
Distribution + orchestration moat for T008. Lower drawdown risk than PLTR; complementary position.
NOC
Northrop Grumman Corporation
T004 ADD
5.0% · medium-high
$550.00 Best-positioned US prime; B-21 + Sentinel + classified backlog. Multiple compression from Sentinel overhang is the entry opportunity.
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
T002 HOLD
7.0% · high
$222.32 Participation in the AI leader, deliberately not overweight. Custom-silicon substitution risk is the offset to absolute conviction.
PANW
Palo Alto Networks, Inc.
T009 BUY
4.0% · medium-high
Primary T009 expression. Bundle thesis works only if integration goes smoothly; near-term volatility around CyberArk is feature not bug for …
PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc.
T008 BUY
4.0% · high
$135.14 Primary T008 expression. Ontology-first moat is the durable form of agent-era software. Valuation requires patience but conviction matches v…
SYM
Symbotic Inc.
T005 HOLD
3.0% · low
$47.05 Adjacent expression of robotics theme. Speculative, correctly sized small. Watch GreenBox JV + Walmart commentary.
TLN
Talen Energy Corporation
T001 HOLD
5.0% · medium-high
$324.21 Most concentrated T001 read; Amazon-Susquehanna is the template deal. FERC ruling on co-location is the single binary I'd watch.
TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (ADR)
T002 HOLD
5.0% · high
$395.95 Foundry winner regardless of which fabless leads. Taiwan risk is the recurring tax — priced in but not eliminated.
VST
Vistra Corp
T001 HOLD
5.0% · medium-high
$136.75 Secondary T001 expression; cheaper than CEG; cleanest ERCOT-gas + nuclear blend. Hold at target; selective adds on dips.